One Nation’s recent rise in voter support appears to have lost momentum, with new polling showing the party slipping as the Coalition recovers ground and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese improves his personal standing.
The latest Resolve Political Monitor found support for Pauline Hanson’s One Nation fell by three percentage points in July to 26 per cent, reversing part of the party’s strong result recorded a month earlier.
The Coalition gained three points to reach 23 per cent, while Labor remained unchanged as the leading party on 28 per cent. Support for the Greens was also steady at 12 per cent.
The results suggest the political landscape is tightening after One Nation’s significant surge in June, when the party briefly appeared to be challenging the major parties more directly.
Pauline Hanson also recorded a substantial decline in the preferred prime minister measure. Her rating dropped eight points from the previous month to 25 per cent.
By comparison, Anthony Albanese increased his preferred prime minister result by four points to 33 per cent, strengthening his lead over his political rivals.
Coalition leader Angus Taylor also improved his position, rising five points to 21 per cent.
The polling showed voters had become less confident that One Nation could form government. Only 19 per cent of respondents now expected the party to win a future election.
About 35 per cent believed Albanese would remain prime minister, while 18 per cent expected the Coalition to return to power.
The change followed a month of debate over several controversial policy positions promoted by Hanson and senior One Nation figures.
Among the most heavily scrutinised proposals was Hanson’s support for Australia becoming more culturally uniform, or “monocultural”, rather than continuing to emphasise multiculturalism.
Resolve pollster Jim Reed said the latest results indicated One Nation had lost considerable support among women and voters from migrant backgrounds.
He suggested the party’s positions on multiculturalism and abortion may have weakened its appeal among groups that had previously contributed to its polling surge.
According to Reed, the latest figures showed some of the initial attraction surrounding One Nation’s renewed popularity had begun to fade.
Despite the broader decline, the poll indicated that some of Hanson’s policy positions continued to resonate with sections of the electorate.
Her messages concerning immigration, the National Disability Insurance Scheme and financial hardship still attracted support from voters concerned about population growth, government spending and the cost of living.
However, voters were more sceptical of the proposal that Australia would benefit from becoming a monocultural society.
The poll found 39 per cent opposed that position, compared with 33 per cent who supported it. The remaining respondents were undecided or did not express a firm view.
The results suggest Hanson remains an influential figure in Australian politics, but also highlight the difficulties One Nation faces when attempting to broaden its support beyond its established voter base.
The party’s decline also offers some relief to the Coalition, which has been under pressure from One Nation’s recent growth, particularly among conservative and disillusioned voters.
For Labor, the poll shows its primary vote remaining stable while Albanese’s personal approval improved, despite continued political pressure over economic and social issues.
The July figures indicate Australia’s three-way political contest remains highly unsettled, with voter sentiment capable of shifting significantly in response to policy announcements and public controversy.
